Notices by 🎓 Dr. Freemo :jpf: 🇳🇱 (freemo@qoto.org), page 10

@surasanji Morning!

@AmpBenzScientist If I want to know something about the present or past I dont need a model, I simply need to look at the past or the present.

If someone claims "50% of the ice caps have already melted" (just making up a figure) I dont need a model to confirm that, a model is irrelevant. All I need to do is look at the ice caps and measure how much of it there is.

@muehlfield Could be, in theory. In practice that doesnt seem to be the case.

Ask yourself this, how many people in poverty or on the edge of poverty picked a career path specifically because of it being well paid and spend every or most night studying in books or practicing said trade in their free time? Of the people I know literally not one of them.

Likewise, of the people you know who did pick a profitable career patha nd study and invest in that skill set every day for years and havent given up on that dream, how many of those are living well above the poverty line? From what I've seen nearly all of them.

I am a successful person financially, I try my best to use what I learned to achieve that success to help others on a similar path. In almost every case the above has held true, Ic ould tell you in the first weeks of taking someone under my wing, based on their own dedication and choices, who is going to be successful and who will be stuck in poverty. Here we are decades later and nearly every one of those predictions seem to have come true. I realize this is anecdotal but to me it seems a pretty obvious truth from my own experiences taking people in and trying to help them towards success.

With that said the system is absolutely not flawless. The big issue is that many people in poverty or born to poverty (not middle class, poverty) are at an unfair disadvantage. They were raised by parents in poverty and parent who never learned how not to be in poverty. They never had the knowledge needed to teach their kids how to succeed. that is unfair and the system should try to compensate for that, no doubt. But what that means is yes, anyone can succeed, but most people simply arent given the life lessons one would need to be able to. The System should provide better help to correct for that.

@muehlfield Could be, in theory. In practice that doesnt seem to be the case.

Ask yourself this, how many people in poverty or on the edge of poverty picked a career path specifically because of it being well paid and spend every or most night studying in books or practicing said trade in their free time? Of the people I know literally not one of them.

Likewise, of the people you know who did pick a profitable career patha nd study and invest in that skill set every day for years and havent given up on that dream, how many of those are living well above the poverty line? From what I've seen nearly all of them.

I am a successful person financially, I try my best to use what I learned to achieve that success to help others on a similar path. In almost every case the above has held true, Ic ould tell you in the first weeks of taking someone under my wing, based on their own dedication and choices, who is going to be successful and who will be stuck in poverty. Here we are decades later and nearly every one of those predictions seem to have come true. I realize this is anecdotal but to me it seems a pretty obvious truth from my own experiences taking people in and trying to help them towards success.

@muehlfield I never said everybody can make it. It takes someone who works smart and invests a lot of time and effort to get there. Very very few people work hard to invest in themselves. Mostly just work mindless jobs and accept their wage and dont really do much to get ahead in life. Thats ok, nothing wrong with that, but it also means youll be stuck somewhere close to the poverty line, as should be the case.

The only reason anyone can make it is because most people dont invest the effort needed to make it, so that leaves a lot at the top for a few motivated people to share.

In that regard its pretty fair, if more people started changing their tactic and invested more in themselves and their future then we would have a lot more rich people no doubt.

@AmpBenzScientist That makes no sense. Models arent used to determine the curreent severity of a problem, theya re used to predict the severity we may expect in the future.

Models have no relevance on understanding that the effects of climate change have **already** been devestating, so no they dont and by their nature cant fail at that task, as that is not their purpose.

This seems to be a position drawn from complete ignorance as to what role models play in science.

@muehlfield Here ya go, they include two different sources so it seems good in terms of addressing potential bias.

One source is left-leaning yet still finds 60% of worldwide billionairs were self made. This number is confirmed by forbes int he same article which tends to be more right-leaning. There are tons of other sources you can use to confirm this as well:

https://www.cnbc.com/2014/10/03/two-thirds-of-billionaires-made-it-themselves.html

@muehlfield Sure do, just need to find it again.

@AmpBenzScientist

I think the issue isnt so much the lack of hardship, there is plenty. the issue is more so that the hardship ramps up slowly over generations so its hard to see and easy to normalize.

@miguel31416

@PunaisetPimpulat Sadly thats very true.

@DracoMagister Good chatting with you, anytime

@miguel31416 :(

@DracoMagister yes I have. On most issues in fact. People never bother to challenge things that agree with their biases. So they hear something and demand it must be true just by virtue of the fact that everyone said it. Its sad and ultimately self defeating.

@DracoMagister I'm glad you shared it. Just isnt really offering me anything new most likely, ill have to read it when i get a chance but the data i used to conclude the horrors of communism s all stuff i researched first so will have a hard time making a case to the contrary is all

@AmpBenzScientist Very true. Thankfully models are completely irrelevant to us knowing that Climate Change is human caused and already very much devastating.

@DracoMagister Already well aware of that in almost all things. 90% of the claimed facts in the general public on any issue tends to be BS

@DracoMagister Can yu cite a false fact that I actually relayed at some point? I try to go out of my way to research any fact before I incorporate it into my decision making process. I am already well aware of the overwhelming amount of false information on either side in any issue, so that wont really be anything new for me to read.

@DracoMagister I am glad people started talking and debating as a result of this movement. One thing I appreciated is how every day they had an area designated where people could go and debate and discuss issues and everyone would listen

Sometimes I feel dumb when I'm trying to understand a Math proof or a new study and dont understand what they are saying...

Then I realize there are people out there who think Climate Change isnt human caused or a serious problem, grown ass adults who literally arent even as smart as a middle schooler.

Then I feel better about myself but then I stress over how many stupid people there are.

#vlimate #GobalWarmng #ClimateChange

@matrix Isnt it the opposite though. they know their gender expression (how they dress or what makeup they wear or whatever) but the games never explicitly stated what genitals they had.